13 November 2024, Istanbul, Türkiye – A new study released today by Federal Express Corporation, the world’s largest express transportation company, forecasts that parcel carriers will collectively distribute more than 476 million shipments across Türkiye between October and December 2024, 10.1% more than in the same period in 2023.
The independent study was conducted by Effigy Consulting, which analysed its courier, express and parcels (CEP) database with 500,000 data points on more than 300 carriers in 41 countries.
The data shows a significant increase on the 2023 figures for Turkey, up from 432m parcels to 476m in 2024. Türkiye is one of the fastest growing major markets and ranks in the top 5 European busiest markets for parcels this Peak season. The country is representing the 7.7% of the total deliveries made across Europe, and is behind only UK (1,29bn), Germany (1,1bn) and France (524m) but ahead of other major European markets like Spain, Italy, the Netherlands, and Belgium. This growth is being driven by a rise in e-commerce which accounts for nearly 70% of shipments going directly to consumers across the European market.
Across the whole of Europe, 6.2bn shipments will be made between October and December 2024, 9.0% more than in the same period in 2023. To illustrate the scale of the Peak, if laid end to end the parcels would stretch 1.15 million miles, enough to stretch to the moon and back twice, with plenty of parcels to spare. The total weight of goods transported across Europe this Peak will be almost 7.5m tonnes, which equates to around 15 kg for every person living in the EU and the UK. Europe is forecast to import more goods from outside the continent than it exports, with almost 200 million shipments coming in from for instance China and the USA compared to 75 million going out. However, almost half a billion of the parcels shipped this Peak season in Europe are expected to be exports, with European based businesses shipping nearly 500 million parcels to other countries both inside and outside the EU.
The peak season, encompassing Black Friday and the festive season, is a crucial period for European retailers and manufacturers. The surge in e-commerce primarily drives significant growth during this time. In Türkiye, a staggering 73.4% of shipments (349 m) during this period are expected to be business-to-consumer (B2C), reflecting the growing popularity of online shopping. Business-to-business (B2B) shipments also experience a significant surge as retailers restock their inventories and prepare for the holiday rush. Approximately 12% of all shipments are projected to be B2B. Daily deliveries on the Turkish Black Friday (29th November) will grow to 10.8 million this year up from 9.4 million in 2023.
“Peak season is a critical time for the logistics sector and the countless businesses that we support in Türkiye. Shipping across continents and countries is crucial to trade and growth especially this year that is expected to be the biggest since the pandemic for parcel deliveries, reflecting the strength of ecommerce. By leveraging our air and road network, we support our customers in navigating the busiest time of the year and helping them seize growth opportunities across regions.” said Eser Sezek, Vice President Ground Operations for South-East Europe & France at FedEx. “As a strategic crossroads for global trade, Türkiye plays a pivotal role in connecting European businesses with markets across Asia, the Middle East. FedEx is here to support business in Turkiye to explore new markets, effectively meet customers’ growing expectations, build a competitive advantage, and dynamically develop their business.”
Table one: European Peak deliveries by sender and recipient
Delivery type | October to December predicted volume |
Business to consumer | 4,284,943,000 |
Business to business | 1,215,763,000 |
Consumer to consumer | 486,200,000 |
Consumer to business | 236,735,000 |
Table two: European exports by destination
Destination | October to December predicted volume |
Other EU countries (e.g. FR to DE) | 340,260,000 |
Non-EU Europe (e.g. FR to UK) | 65,930,000 |
Rest of world (e.g. FR to US) | 75,470,000 |
Table three: European imports from outside the EU
Source of imports | October to December predicted volume |
Rest of world (e.g. US to FR) | 191,760,000 |
Table four: Peak deliveries by key European countries
Country | 2024 Peak | 2023 Peak | Percentage change |
United Kingdom | 1,296,064,523 | 1,169,010,583 | 10.87% |
Germany | 1,085,103,925 | 1,030,477,633 | 5.30% |
France | 524,737,091 | 500,612,692 | 4.82% |
Turkey | 476,517,205 | 432,652,423 | 10.14% |
Poland | 456,083,267 | 399,335,959 | 14.21% |
Spain | 417,263,891 | 376,607,578 | 10.80% |
Italy | 365,072,858 | 337,516,289 | 8.16% |
Netherlands | 226,550,720 | 210,323,032 | 7.72% |
BeLux | 109,932,420 | 102,139,359 | 7.63% |
Ireland | 45,020,794 | 41,744,842 | 7.85% |
Ends
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About Federal Express Corporation
Federal Express Corporation is the world’s largest express transportation company, providing fast and reliable delivery to more than 220 countries and territories. Federal Express Corporation uses a global air-and-ground network to speed delivery of time-sensitive shipments by a definite time and date.
About Effigy Consulting
Effigy Consulting is a global consulting firm, leader in the Courier, Express and Parcel (CEP) industry. Connected to 500,000 data points on more than 300 carriers in 41 countries, Effigy Consulting is providing premium Data analytics, Reports and Market studies for world-class customers among the industry.
About the research
Research undertaken by Effigy Consulting, commissioned by Federal Express Corporation, September - October 2024. All figures (except 2023) are forecasts. Volume of a package represents 0.7839 cubic foot (0.0222 m3).